Matchup Machine

Brooks Lee

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matchup for Seth Lugo

99th out of 436 (Best 23%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Brooks Lee

323rd out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Leans in favor of Lugo
2

Model Prediction

Brooks Lee has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.5% higher than Lee's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.4%23.5%1.8%4.6%17.1%5.8%20.0%
Lee+0.5+1.0-0.3+0.1+1.3-0.5+1.2
Lugo-3.1-0.4-1.3-0.3+1.2-2.7-4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Brooks Lee hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lee doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Brooks Lee hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.8% of Brooks Lee's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.9% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 21%         Strikeout -9.9% +0.8% 7%         Walk -3.4% -2.3% 51%         In Play +13.2% +1.4% 39%         On Base +1.2% -0.4% 31%         Hit +4.5% +1.9% 14%         Single +2.7% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.8% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years