Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Brooks Lee

matchup for Jorge Lopez

70th out of 436 (Best 17%)

Jorge Lopez

matchup for Brooks Lee

447th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Moderate advantage for Lopez

Brooks Lee has a 26.9% chance of reaching base vs Jorge Lopez, which is 1.9% lower than Lee's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Lopez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.9%	21.2%	1.6%	4.0%	15.6%	5.7%	19.0%
Lee	-1.9	-1.3	-0.5	-0.6	-0.2	-0.6	+0.1
Lopez	-3.6	-1.4	-1.0	-0.7	+0.4	-2.2	-5.6

Brooks Lee hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jorge Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Lee does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Jorge Lopez throws a Sinker 26% of the time. Brooks Lee hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

26%

Kn-Curve (R)

25%

4-Seam (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

12%

Slider (R)

14% of Jorge Lopez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Brooks Lee hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

35% of Jorge Lopez's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Brooks Lee hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 35%

+20%

Extreme Drop 21%

+16%

11.8% of Brooks Lee's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.9% lower than the league average. Jorge Lopez strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

21%

Strikeout -9.9% +0.2% 7%

Walk -3.4% -0.3% 51%

In Play +13.2% +0.1% 39%

On Base +1.2% +1.5% 31%

Hit +4.5% +1.8% 14%

Single +2.7% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +2.7% +1.0% 3%

Home Run -0.8% -0.1%

41.7% of Brooks Lee's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.3% higher than the league average. Jorge Lopez induces Standard Grounders at a 42.3% rate, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.3% +7.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% +1.4% 14%

Low Screamer +1.2% -4.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.6% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +4.7% +0.0% 3%

Likely Homer -3.0% +1.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% -4.5% 3%

Pop up -0.7% +0.2%

10.6% of Brooks Lee's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.7% lower than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Jorge Lopez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.1% -0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +6.5% -0.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.6% -0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -13.7% +1.0%

6.8% of Brooks Lee's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Jorge Lopez are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.9% +8.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.7% -0.1% 8%

1 to 6° -2.9% +1.5% 18%

7 to 18° +5.9% -5.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.7% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -4.7% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% -2.7% 8%

Above 50° -0.2% -2.3%

Brooks Lee has 1 plate appearance against Jorge Lopez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.80	0.00	0.00	0.80			0.803

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-07	Single			80%	20%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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