Matchup Machine

Pedro Pages

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matchup for Bryce Miller

155th out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Pedro Pages

441st out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Strong advantage for Miller
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Model Prediction

Pedro Pages has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 1.9% lower than Pages's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%20.4%2.6%4.7%13.2%6.8%33.7%
Pages-1.9-1.6-0.4-0.5-0.7-0.4+5.6
Miller-2.00.0+0.3+0.3-0.6-2.0+3.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Pedro Pages is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Pages doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Pedro Pages hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Pedro Pages's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +1.9% +0.2% 6%         Walk -2.3% -2.5% 51%         In Play +0.4% +2.3% 39%         On Base +1.6% -3.2% 31%         Hit +3.9% -0.7% 14%         Single +1.2% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.5%

History

Pedro Pages has 2 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.001
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-06Pop Out100%
2024-09-06Groundout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.