Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Pedro Pages

matchup for Pablo Lopez

89th out of 436 (Best 21%)

Pablo Lopez

matchup for Pedro Pages

318th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Moderate advantage for Lopez

Pedro Pages has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Pablo Lopez, which is 0.2% higher than Pages's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Lopez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.9%	22.3%	3.4%	4.6%	14.3%	5.6%	31.8%
Pages	-0.2	+1.4	+0.6	-0.1	+0.9	-1.5	+3.7
Lopez	-3.3	-1.5	+0.5	-0.3	-1.7	-1.8	+4.8

Pedro Pages is worse vs right-handed pitching. Pablo Lopez is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Pages does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Pablo Lopez throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Pedro Pages hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

25%

Slider (R)

13%

Curve (R)

10%

Sinker (R)

8% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Pedro Pages hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

25% of Pablo Lopez's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Pedro Pages hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (R) 25%

+14%

Extreme Break 26%

+11%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

21.0% of Pedro Pages's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Pablo Lopez strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout +2.5% +4.2% 6%

Walk -2.2% -2.5% 52%

In Play -0.4% -1.7% 39%

On Base +1.8% -2.2% 31%

Hit +4.0% +0.3% 14%

Single +1.5% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B +1.9% +0.2% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -0.3%

33.8% of Pedro Pages's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. Pablo Lopez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.2% rate, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.7% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.6% +3.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.1% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.9% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner -2.8% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +4.4% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -0.5% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.4% -0.9% 3%

Pop up -1.6% -0.5%

19.7% of Pedro Pages's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. 22.1% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -5.3% +0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +7.8% +3.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.2% -0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.1% -1.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.6% -2.2%

10.8% of Pedro Pages's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Pablo Lopez are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.5% +2.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.5% +0.7% 8%

1 to 6° +1.0% -1.1% 18%

7 to 18° -4.5% -1.0% 15%

19 to 28° -1.3% +0.1% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° -0.1% +0.0% 8%

Above 50° +4.5% -0.7%

Pedro Pages has 3 plate appearances against Pablo Lopez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.14	0.00	0.00	0.14			0.048

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-24	Groundout			14%	86%
2024-08-24	Strikeout
2024-08-24	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe