Matchup Machine

Pedro Pages

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matchup for Aaron Nola

117th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Pedro Pages

409th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Moderate advantage for Nola
5

Model Prediction

Pedro Pages has a 26.4% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.7% lower than Pages's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.4%21.2%3.3%6.5%11.4%5.2%35.9%
Pages-2.7-0.8+0.3+1.4-2.5-1.9+7.8
Nola-3.0-1.1+0.4+0.2-1.7-1.9+5.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Pedro Pages is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Pages does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Pedro Pages hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Pedro Pages's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +1.9% +6.3% 6%         Walk -2.3% -2.8% 51%         In Play +0.4% -3.5% 39%         On Base +1.6% -4.8% 31%         Hit +3.9% -2.0% 14%         Single +1.2% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.0% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years