Matchup Machine

Pedro Pages

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matchup for Austin Gomber

190th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Pedro Pages

83rd out of 567 (Best 15%)

Strong advantage for Pages
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Model Prediction

Pedro Pages has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.9% higher than Pages's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%26.1%3.7%6.9%15.6%4.0%18.7%
Pages+0.9+4.1+0.7+1.8+1.7-3.2-9.4
Gomber-1.6+0.2+0.3+0.2-0.3-1.8+0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Pedro Pages is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Pages doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Pedro Pages hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

20.4% of Pedro Pages's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout +1.9% -3.3% 6%         Walk -2.3% -2.5% 51%         In Play +0.4% +5.9% 39%         On Base +1.6% +0.6% 31%         Hit +3.9% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.2% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.3%

History

Pedro Pages has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.360.000.000.360.179
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-25Single36%64%
2024-09-25Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.