Matchup Machine

Korey Lee

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matchup for Ryan Johnson

234th out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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Ryan Johnson

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matchup for Korey Lee

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Lee
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Model Prediction

Korey Lee has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Johnson, which is 5.1% higher than Lee's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Johnson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%26.4%3.7%8.3%14.4%5.9%24.1%
Lee+5.1+4.3+1.1+2.6+0.6+0.8-8.6
Johnson-2.6+2.9+0.6+2.2+0.1-5.6+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Korey Lee is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Johnson is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Johnson throws a Cutter 62% of the time. Korey Lee hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
62%
   Sinker (R)
18%
   4-Seam (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

19.0% of Korey Lee's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. Ryan Johnson strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 14.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.1% -14.4% 6%         Walk -3.2% +2.1% 42%         In Play -3.9% +12.3% 39%         On Base -6.4% +6.0% 31%         Hit -3.2% +3.9% 14%         Single -1.5% -6.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% -5.9% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +16.2%

History

Korey Lee has 1 plate appearance against Ryan Johnson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.