Matchup Machine

Korey Lee

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matchup for C. Hernandez

21st out of 436 (Best 6%)

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Carlos Hernandez

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matchup for Korey Lee

287th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Moderate advantage for Hernandez
5

Model Prediction

Korey Lee has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.4% higher than Lee's typical expectations, and 5.5% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.8%20.7%2.9%6.3%11.5%6.0%35.3%
Lee-0.4-1.3+0.3+0.6-2.3+1.0+2.7
Hernandez-5.5-0.8-0.1+0.5-1.1-4.7+11.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Korey Lee is better vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Lee has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Korey Lee has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.0% of Korey Lee's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.1% -1.8% 6%         Walk -3.2% +2.0% 42%         In Play -3.9% -0.2% 39%         On Base -6.4% +0.9% 31%         Hit -3.2% -1.1% 14%         Single -1.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years