Matchup Machine

Korey Lee

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matchup for Tanner Houck

41st out of 436 (Best 10%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Korey Lee

286th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Moderate advantage for Houck
5

Model Prediction

Korey Lee has a 27.5% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.4% higher than Lee's typical expectations, and 4.3% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.5%21.7%1.6%5.0%15.0%5.8%26.0%
Lee+0.4-0.4-1.0-0.6+1.3+0.7-6.7
Houck-4.3-0.4-0.5+0.6-0.6-3.9+6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Korey Lee is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Lee has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Korey Lee has a C+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

19.0% of Korey Lee's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +7.1% -1.6% 6%         Walk -3.2% +0.2% 42%         In Play -3.9% +1.4% 39%         On Base -6.4% +0.4% 31%         Hit -3.2% +0.3% 14%         Single -1.5% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.9%

History

Korey Lee has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.360.000.010.350.122
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-06Strikeout
2024-06-06Groundout1%35%64%
2024-06-06Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.