Matchup Machine

Brenton Doyle

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

326th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Brenton Doyle

123rd out of 567 (Best 23%)

Extreme advantage for Doyle
9

Model Prediction

Brenton Doyle has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.1% higher than Doyle's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.4%25.0%4.4%6.3%14.3%9.3%23.7%
Doyle+2.1+0.9+1.2+0.4-0.7+1.2+0.2
Flaherty+0.2+1.8+0.8+1.2-0.2-1.6+0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Brenton Doyle is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Doyle has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Brenton Doyle has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

14.7% of Brenton Doyle's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +0.2% +5.8% 5%         Walk -0.9% -1.5% 39%         In Play +0.8% -4.3% 39%         On Base -0.2% -2.0% 31%         Hit +0.8% -0.5% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +1.2% -0.2%

History

Brenton Doyle has 2 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010100.500
Expected From Contact →0.710.000.640.080.355
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-27Strikeout
2023-08-27Double64%8%29%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.