Matchup Machine

      Dylan Crews

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      matchup for Shota Imanaga

      119th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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      Shota Imanaga

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      matchup for Dylan Crews

      310th out of 564 (Worst 45%)

      Moderate advantage for Imanaga
      3

      Model Prediction

      Dylan Crews has a 26.6% chance of reaching base vs Shota Imanaga, which is 2.0% lower than Crews's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Imanaga.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Dylan Crews hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Shota Imanaga is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Crews doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Shota Imanaga throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Dylan Crews hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      52%
         Splitter (L)
      31%
         Slider (L)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      21.2% of Dylan Crews's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Shota Imanaga strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout +0.8% +0.3% 6%         Walk +0.3% -2.9% 56%         In Play -1.1% +2.7% 39%         On Base +0.4% -5.5% 31%         Hit +0.1% -2.6% 14%         Single -0.9% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.4% -1.5% 3%         Home Run +1.4% +0.9%

      History

      Dylan Crews has 6 plate appearances against Shota Imanaga in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a home run and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual661100100.167
      Expected From Contact →1.820.800.150.870.304
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-09-22Groundout36%63%
      2024-09-22Groundout17%82%
      2024-09-22Groundout2%30%69%
      2024-08-30Home Run80%12%4%4%
      2024-08-30Strikeout
      2024-08-30Pop Out100%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.