Dylan Crews has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 1.1% higher than Crews's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Fried.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 30.3% | 21.7% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 15.8% | 8.6% | 27.2% |
Crews | +1.1 | +0.8 | -0.8 | 0.0 | +1.7 | +0.3 | +1.6 |
Fried | -2.1 | -1.4 | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -0.7 | +0.8 |
Dylan Crews hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Crews doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Dylan Crews hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
20.6% of Dylan Crews's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Dylan Crews has 3 plate appearances against Max Fried in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.81 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1.67 | 0.602 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-09-11 | Single | 3% | 92% | 5% | |
2024-09-11 | Groundout | 2% | 98% | ||
2024-09-11 | Single | 10% | 73% | 17% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.