Matchup Machine

Dylan Crews

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matchup for Max Fried

126th out of 436 (Best 30%)

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Max Fried

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matchup for Dylan Crews

337th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Fried
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Model Prediction

Dylan Crews has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Max Fried, which is 1.1% higher than Crews's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Fried.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.3%21.7%1.8%4.2%15.8%8.6%27.2%
Crews+1.1+0.8-0.80.0+1.7+0.3+1.6
Fried-2.1-1.4-0.3-0.4-0.7-0.7+0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Dylan Crews hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Max Fried is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Crews doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Max Fried throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Dylan Crews hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
35%
   Curve (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
17%
   Sinker (L)
13%
   Changeup (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

20.6% of Dylan Crews's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Max Fried strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout 0.0% +3.0% 6%         Walk +0.6% -1.8% 56%         In Play -0.6% -1.2% 39%         On Base +1.4% +0.3% 31%         Hit +0.8% +2.0% 14%         Single -0.4% +1.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +1.7% 3%         Home Run +1.1% -1.4%

History

Dylan Crews has 3 plate appearances against Max Fried in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332002000.667
Expected From Contact →1.810.000.131.670.602
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-11Single3%92%5%
2024-09-11Groundout2%98%
2024-09-11Single10%73%17%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.