Matchup Machine

Dylan Crews

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matchup for Seth Lugo

110th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Dylan Crews

246th out of 567 (Best 44%)

Leans in favor of Lugo
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Model Prediction

Dylan Crews has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.0% higher than Crews's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%23.1%2.7%4.8%15.6%7.0%27.5%
Crews+1.0+2.2+0.2+0.6+1.5-1.2+1.8
Lugo-2.3-0.8-0.4-0.2-0.3-1.5+2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Dylan Crews hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Crews doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Dylan Crews hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.6% of Dylan Crews's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.0% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout 0.0% +0.8% 6%         Walk +0.6% -2.3% 56%         In Play -0.6% +1.4% 39%         On Base +1.4% -0.4% 31%         Hit +0.8% +1.9% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% +1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.1% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years