Matchup Machine

Dylan Crews

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matchup for Zack Wheeler

309th out of 436 (Worst 29%)

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Zack Wheeler

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matchup for Dylan Crews

534th out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Strong advantage for Wheeler
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Model Prediction

Dylan Crews has a 25.3% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 5.7% lower than Crews's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Wheeler.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.3%15.9%3.4%3.3%9.2%9.4%30.3%
Crews-5.7-5.7+0.5-1.0-5.30.0+7.9
Wheeler-0.4-0.7+0.6+0.0-1.2+0.3-3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Dylan Crews hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Crews doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Dylan Crews hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

16.3% of Dylan Crews's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 21%         Strikeout -5.4% +7.8% 6%         Walk +1.1% -2.6% 56%         In Play +4.3% -5.2% 39%         On Base +3.0% -6.5% 31%         Hit +1.9% -3.8% 14%         Single +0.0% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -1.4% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -1.0%

History

Dylan Crews has 4 plate appearances against Zack Wheeler in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual430000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.270.000.020.250.089
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Flyout
2025-03-27Lineout
2024-09-28Walk
2024-09-28Flyout2%25%73%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.