Matchup Machine

Oliver Dunn

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matchup for Michael Wacha

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Oliver Dunn

320th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Extreme advantage for Wacha
10

Model Prediction

Oliver Dunn has a 22.6% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.5% higher than Dunn's typical expectations, and 8.5% lower than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.6%15.8%1.4%2.9%11.4%6.9%37.2%
Dunn-0.5+0.4-0.3-0.5+1.3-0.9-4.1
Wacha-8.5-7.4-1.3-2.2-3.9-1.2+15.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Oliver Dunn hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Dunn does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Oliver Dunn hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

35.7% of Oliver Dunn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 16.1% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +16.1% +0.4% 7%         Walk -2.2% -2.0% 60%         In Play -13.9% +1.5% 39%         On Base -12.0% -3.0% 31%         Hit -9.8% -1.0% 14%         Single -4.6% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -4.2% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years