Matchup Machine

Oliver Dunn

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matchup for Seth Lugo

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for Oliver Dunn

343rd out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Extreme advantage for Lugo
10

Model Prediction

Oliver Dunn has a 22.7% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.4% higher than Dunn's typical expectations, and 9.7% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.7%15.7%1.6%3.9%10.2%7.1%44.4%
Dunn-0.4+0.3-0.2+0.50.0-0.7+3.0
Lugo-9.7-8.3-1.5-1.0-5.7-1.5+19.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Oliver Dunn hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Dunn doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Oliver Dunn hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

35.7% of Oliver Dunn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 16.1% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +16.1% +0.8% 7%         Walk -2.2% -2.3% 60%         In Play -13.9% +1.4% 39%         On Base -12.0% -0.4% 31%         Hit -9.8% +1.9% 14%         Single -4.6% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -4.2% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years