Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Oliver Dunn

matchup for Aaron Nola

out of 436 (Worst %)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Oliver Dunn

484th out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Extreme advantage for Nola

Oliver Dunn has a 19.3% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 3.8% lower than Dunn's typical expectations, and 10.2% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	19.3%	13.4%	2.1%	3.7%	7.6%	5.9%	49.7%
Dunn	-3.8	-2.0	+0.3	+0.3	-2.5	-1.9	+8.4
Nola	-10.2	-9.0	-0.9	-2.6	-5.5	-1.2	+18.8

Oliver Dunn hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Dunn does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Oliver Dunn hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Oliver Dunn hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Oliver Dunn hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

35.7% of Oliver Dunn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 16.1% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

19%

Strikeout +16.1% +6.3% 7%

Walk -2.2% -2.8% 60%

In Play -13.9% -3.5% 39%

On Base -12.0% -4.8% 31%

Hit -9.8% -2.0% 14%

Single -4.6% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -4.2% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.5%

25.6% of Oliver Dunn's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.8% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +16.6% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -15.0% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -9.6% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.3% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +29.9% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -3.4% -0.7%

24.4% of Oliver Dunn's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.1% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -16.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -21.2% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +31.1% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +6.2% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.1% -0.7%

0.0% of Oliver Dunn's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 11.4% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%