Matchup Machine

Dominic Canzone

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matchup for Jake Latz

109th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Jake Latz

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matchup for Dominic Canzone

151st out of 567 (Best 27%)

Leans in favor of Canzone
1

Model Prediction

Dominic Canzone has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 2.3% higher than Canzone's typical expectations, and 4.4% lower than batters facing Latz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.0%21.1%3.7%5.1%12.3%8.9%28.0%
Canzone+2.3-0.2+0.5+0.1-0.8+2.5-2.1
Latz-4.4+0.3+1.0+0.2-1.0-4.7+5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Dominic Canzone hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Canzone doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Dominic Canzone hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
50%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Curve (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

16.3% of Dominic Canzone's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -0.2% -1.3% 5%         Walk -1.0% +6.7% 44%         In Play +1.2% -5.5% 39%         On Base -5.3% +1.7% 31%         Hit -4.3% -5.1% 14%         Single -3.1% -3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% -3.0% 3%         Home Run +1.5% +1.4%

History

Dominic Canzone has 1 plate appearance against Jake Latz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-16Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.