Matchup Machine

      Dominic Canzone

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      matchup for Colin Rea

      252nd out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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      Colin Rea

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      matchup for Dominic Canzone

      11st out of 564 (Best 3%)

      Extreme advantage for Canzone
      9

      Model Prediction

      Dominic Canzone has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Colin Rea, which is 6.0% higher than Canzone's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Rea.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Dominic Canzone hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Colin Rea is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Canzone has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Colin Rea throws a Sinker 29% of the time. Dominic Canzone hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      29%
         Cutter (R)
      22%
         4-Seam (R)
      21%
         Slider (R)
      13%
         Splitter (R)
      8%
         Curve (R)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      16.3% of Dominic Canzone's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. Colin Rea strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -0.2% -3.1% 5%         Walk -1.0% -1.6% 44%         In Play +1.2% +4.8% 39%         On Base -5.3% +0.8% 31%         Hit -4.3% +2.5% 14%         Single -3.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.5% +1.2%

      History

      Dominic Canzone has 2 plate appearances against Colin Rea in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221001000.500
      Expected From Contact →0.860.000.250.610.428
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-07Single24%60%17%
      2024-04-07Flyout1%98%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.