Matchup Machine

Dominic Canzone

sometext

matchup for Martin Perez

49th out of 436 (Best 12%)

sometext

Martin Perez

sometext

matchup for Dominic Canzone

87th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Moderate advantage for Canzone
3

Model Prediction

Dominic Canzone has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.3% higher than Canzone's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%24.5%3.6%5.2%15.7%6.5%24.8%
Canzone+3.3+3.2+0.4+0.2+2.6+0.1-5.3
Perez-3.6-0.8+0.5-0.1-1.2-2.8+6.4

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Dominic Canzone hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Canzone doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Dominic Canzone hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.3% of Dominic Canzone's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -0.2% -6.1% 5%         Walk -1.0% -0.3% 44%         In Play +1.2% +6.4% 39%         On Base -5.3% +5.9% 31%         Hit -4.3% +6.3% 14%         Single -3.1% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.7% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +1.5% -0.6%

History

Dominic Canzone has 2 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.110.000.000.110.056
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-10-01Strikeout
2023-10-01Groundout11%89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.