Matchup Machine

Vinnie Pasquantino

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

413th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for V. Pasquantino

172nd out of 567 (Best 31%)

Extreme advantage for Pasquantino
9

Model Prediction

Vinnie Pasquantino has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 2.0% higher than Pasquantino's typical expectations, and 3.5% higher than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.3%26.5%2.5%6.2%17.7%8.8%14.4%
Pasquantino+2.0+1.7-0.4+0.6+1.5+0.3-1.3
Bibee+3.5+3.5-0.3+1.0+2.80.0-11.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Vinnie Pasquantino is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Pasquantino has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Vinnie Pasquantino has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

8.8% of Vinnie Pasquantino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.8% +3.2% 5%         Walk -2.0% -1.5% 35%         In Play +11.8% -1.7% 39%         On Base -0.1% -0.6% 31%         Hit +1.9% +0.9% 14%         Single -0.1% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.6% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.4% +0.3%

History

Vinnie Pasquantino has 8 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 8 with 2 home runs and a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual886213000.750
Expected From Contact →4.681.040.453.190.585
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-28Single63%36%
2024-08-28Home Run42%11%1%45%
2024-08-28Single1%81%18%
2024-06-29Single19%73%8%
2024-06-29Home Run62%3%35%
2024-06-06Double4%13%83%
2024-06-06Groundout5%54%42%
2024-06-06Flyout2%33%66%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.