Vinnie Pasquantino has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 2.0% higher than Pasquantino's typical expectations, and 3.5% higher than batters facing Bibee.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 35.3% | 26.5% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 17.7% | 8.8% | 14.4% |
Pasquantino | +2.0 | +1.7 | -0.4 | +0.6 | +1.5 | +0.3 | -1.3 |
Bibee | +3.5 | +3.5 | -0.3 | +1.0 | +2.8 | 0.0 | -11.4 |
Vinnie Pasquantino is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Pasquantino has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Vinnie Pasquantino has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers
8.8% of Vinnie Pasquantino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Vinnie Pasquantino has 8 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 8 with 2 home runs and a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.750 |
Expected From Contact → | 4.68 | 1.04 | 0.45 | 3.19 | 0.585 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-08-28 | Single | 63% | 36% | ||
2024-08-28 | Home Run | 42% | 11% | 1% | 45% |
2024-08-28 | Single | 1% | 81% | 18% | |
2024-06-29 | Single | 19% | 73% | 8% | |
2024-06-29 | Home Run | 62% | 3% | 35% | |
2024-06-06 | Double | 4% | 13% | 83% | |
2024-06-06 | Groundout | 5% | 54% | 42% | |
2024-06-06 | Flyout | 2% | 33% | 66% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.