Matchup Machine

Vinnie Pasquantino

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matchup for C. Hernandez

412th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Carlos Hernandez

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matchup for V. Pasquantino

202nd out of 567 (Best 36%)

Extreme advantage for Pasquantino
9

Model Prediction

Vinnie Pasquantino has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.2% higher than Pasquantino's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.8%25.0%4.1%6.7%14.3%8.8%16.6%
Pasquantino+0.2-0.5+0.6+1.0-2.1+0.8+0.6
Hernandez+1.5+3.5+1.0+0.8+1.7-2.0-7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Vinnie Pasquantino is better vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Pasquantino has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Vinnie Pasquantino has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Vinnie Pasquantino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.6% -1.8% 5%         Walk -2.0% +2.0% 35%         In Play +11.6% -0.2% 39%         On Base -0.8% +0.9% 31%         Hit +1.2% -1.1% 14%         Single -0.4% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.6% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years