Matchup Machine

Vinnie Pasquantino

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matchup for Aaron Nola

417th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for V. Pasquantino

334th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Strong advantage for Pasquantino
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Model Prediction

Vinnie Pasquantino has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.4% lower than Pasquantino's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%25.5%3.7%7.3%14.4%6.7%19.5%
Pasquantino-1.4-0.1+0.2+1.6-1.9-1.4+3.5
Nola+2.7+3.1+0.7+1.0+1.3-0.4-11.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Vinnie Pasquantino is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Pasquantino has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Vinnie Pasquantino hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Vinnie Pasquantino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.6% +6.3% 5%         Walk -2.0% -2.8% 35%         In Play +11.6% -3.5% 39%         On Base -0.8% -4.8% 31%         Hit +1.2% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.4% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.6% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years