Matchup Machine

Vinnie Pasquantino

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matchup for Austin Gomber

415th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for V. Pasquantino

95th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Extreme advantage for Pasquantino
10

Model Prediction

Vinnie Pasquantino has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.9% lower than Pasquantino's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%27.8%4.9%7.6%15.3%4.9%12.2%
Pasquantino-0.9+2.3+1.4+1.9-1.0-3.2-3.8
Gomber+1.0+1.9+1.5+1.0-0.6-1.0-5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Vinnie Pasquantino is worse vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Pasquantino has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Vinnie Pasquantino has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Vinnie Pasquantino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.6% -3.3% 5%         Walk -2.0% -2.5% 35%         In Play +11.6% +5.9% 39%         On Base -0.8% +0.6% 31%         Hit +1.2% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.4% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.6% +0.3%

History

Vinnie Pasquantino has 5 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual541100010.250
Expected From Contact →1.550.450.580.520.387
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-06Home Run45%43%11%
2024-07-06Forceout7%93%
2024-07-06Lineout14%38%47%
2023-06-03GIDP6%94%
2023-06-03Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.