Matchup Machine

Vinnie Pasquantino

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

425th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for V. Pasquantino

6th out of 567 (Best 2%)

Extreme advantage for Pasquantino
10

Model Prediction

Vinnie Pasquantino has a 41.0% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 7.4% higher than Pasquantino's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction41.0%33.3%3.5%6.7%23.1%7.8%12.0%
Pasquantino+7.4+7.70.0+1.0+6.7-0.3-3.9
Stroman+3.4+4.4+0.8+0.9+2.8-1.0-6.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Vinnie Pasquantino is better vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Pasquantino has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Vinnie Pasquantino has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Vinnie Pasquantino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.6% -3.1% 5%         Walk -2.0% -0.8% 35%         In Play +11.6% +3.9% 39%         On Base -0.8% +3.0% 31%         Hit +1.2% +3.8% 14%         Single -0.4% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% +2.4% 3%         Home Run +1.6% -1.1%

History

Vinnie Pasquantino has 3 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual320000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.370.000.010.370.187
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-11Walk
2024-06-11Flyout100%
2024-06-11Groundout37%63%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.