Matchup Machine

Vinnie Pasquantino

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matchup for Martin Perez

390th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for V. Pasquantino

149th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Extreme advantage for Pasquantino
10

Model Prediction

Vinnie Pasquantino has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.5% higher than Pasquantino's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%26.8%3.6%6.1%17.1%8.2%12.9%
Pasquantino+1.5+1.3+0.1+0.4+0.7+0.2-3.1
Perez+0.4+1.5+0.6+0.8+0.2-1.1-5.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Vinnie Pasquantino is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Pasquantino doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Vinnie Pasquantino has a B- grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Vinnie Pasquantino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.6% -6.1% 5%         Walk -2.0% -0.3% 35%         In Play +11.6% +6.4% 39%         On Base -0.8% +5.9% 31%         Hit +1.2% +6.3% 14%         Single -0.4% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.0% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +1.6% -0.6%

History

Vinnie Pasquantino has 3 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →0.930.000.030.900.308
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-19Flyout99%
2023-04-19Groundout2%98%
2023-04-19Single2%87%11%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.