Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Sal Frelick

matchup for Ryan Weathers

279th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Sal Frelick

427th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Frelick

Sal Frelick has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.8% lower than Frelick's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	23.5%	1.1%	5.0%	17.4%	6.4%	13.1%
Frelick	-1.8	-1.0	-0.4	+0.1	-0.7	-0.8	-0.2
Weathers	+0.0	+2.0	-1.0	-0.5	+3.5	-1.9	-11.7

Sal Frelick is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Frelick doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Sal Frelick hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Sal Frelick has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Sal Frelick has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

8.5% of Sal Frelick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.3% -2.1% 5%

Walk -1.3% -0.6% 35%

In Play +11.5% +2.7% 39%

On Base +7.4% +0.9% 31%

Hit +8.6% +1.5% 14%

Single +5.3% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +5.7% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -2.4% -0.5%

43.1% of Sal Frelick's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.7% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.7% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.5% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -3.5% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.0% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer -2.3% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.9% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +3.3% +1.2%

10.7% of Sal Frelick's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +8.3% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.8% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.7% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -6.2% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -13.6% +1.1%

9.9% of Sal Frelick's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%