Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Sal Frelick

matchup for Alex Speas

242nd out of 436 (Worst 45%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Sal Frelick

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Frelick

Sal Frelick has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 1.6% higher than Frelick's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	22.9%	1.3%	4.5%	17.1%	10.4%	13.1%
Frelick	+1.6	-1.5	-0.2	-0.4	-0.9	+3.2	-0.2
Speas	-0.6	+1.8	-1.3	-0.6	+3.7	-2.5	-11.4

Sal Frelick is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Frelick has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Sal Frelick has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Sal Frelick has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Sal Frelick has a C grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

8.5% of Sal Frelick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.3% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.3% +19.9% 5%

Walk -1.3% -0.6% 35%

In Play +11.5% -19.3% 39%

On Base +7.4% -8.2% 31%

Hit +8.6% -7.6% 14%

Single +5.3% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B +5.7% -5.2% 3%

Home Run -2.4% +3.3%

43.1% of Sal Frelick's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.7% higher than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.7% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.5% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner -3.5% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.0% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -2.3% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.9% -7.4% 3%

Pop up +3.3% +8.5%

10.7% of Sal Frelick's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +8.3% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.8% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.7% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -6.2% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -13.6% -10.5%

9.9% of Sal Frelick's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%