Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Sal Frelick

matchup for Carlos Rodon

330th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

Carlos Rodon

matchup for Sal Frelick

430th out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Rodon

Sal Frelick has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Rodon, which is 0.3% higher than Frelick's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Rodon.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.4%	24.6%	1.7%	4.0%	18.9%	6.8%	20.8%
Frelick	-0.3	+0.1	+0.3	-1.0	+0.8	-0.4	+6.8
Rodon	+2.0	+3.6	-1.3	-0.6	+5.6	-1.7	-14.7

Sal Frelick is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Carlos Rodon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Frelick doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Carlos Rodon throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Sal Frelick hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

56%

Slider (L)

28%

Changeup (L)

Curve (L)

14% of Carlos Rodon's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Sal Frelick has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

Meatball 2%

-3%

41% of Carlos Rodon's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Sal Frelick has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 41%

+22%

High Ride 32%

+22%

Very Fast Velo 19%

+16%

8.5% of Sal Frelick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.3% lower than the league average. Carlos Rodon strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.3% +5.4% 5%

Walk -1.4% +0.2% 35%

In Play +11.7% -5.6% 39%

On Base +6.9% -2.6% 31%

Hit +8.3% -2.8% 14%

Single +5.5% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +5.2% -1.7% 3%

Home Run -2.4% +0.5%

43.2% of Sal Frelick's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Carlos Rodon induces Standard Grounders at a 29.9% rate, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.5% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.8% -4.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.6% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +6.7% +1.9% 9%

Rising Liner -3.5% -0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.0% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.7% +2.0% 3%

Pop up +3.2% +0.4%

10.8% of Sal Frelick's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.5% lower than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Rodon are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +8.0% -3.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.8% +1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.8% -0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -6.2% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -13.5% +1.2%

9.8% of Sal Frelick's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Rodon are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +5.1% -3.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.6% -0.7% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% +0.4% 18%

7 to 18° -5.5% -0.8% 15%

19 to 28° +0.6% +0.2% 11%

29 to 38° -1.6% -0.5% 7%

39 to 50° -0.2% +3.1% 8%

Above 50° +2.0% +1.3%

Sal Frelick has 2 plate appearances against Carlos Rodon in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	2.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Single
2025-03-27	Single

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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