Matchup Machine

Sal Frelick

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

205th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Sal Frelick

220th out of 567 (Best 40%)

Moderate advantage for Frelick
5

Model Prediction

Sal Frelick has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.6% higher than Frelick's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%23.8%1.7%5.3%16.8%8.5%12.2%
Frelick+0.6-0.7+0.2+0.4-1.3+1.3-1.2
Anderson-1.5+1.5-1.2+0.1+2.7-3.0-9.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Sal Frelick is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Frelick doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Sal Frelick hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.5% of Sal Frelick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.3% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.3% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.3% -1.0% 35%         In Play +11.5% +2.9% 39%         On Base +7.4% -0.1% 31%         Hit +8.6% +0.9% 14%         Single +5.3% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +5.7% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -2.4% -0.2%

History

Sal Frelick has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.340.000.080.260.114
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-19Groundout25%75%
2024-06-19Flyout7%1%91%
2024-06-19Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.