Matchup Machine

Michael Busch

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matchup for Daniel Palencia

227th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Daniel Palencia

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matchup for Michael Busch

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Busch
3

Model Prediction

Michael Busch has a 35.7% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 4.1% higher than Busch's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Palencia.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.7%15.1%2.3%3.3%9.5%20.6%29.1%
Busch+4.1-3.3-0.4-1.0-1.9+7.3+1.4
Palencia+0.9-4.40.0-0.5-3.8+5.3+2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Busch is better vs right-handed pitching. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Busch has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Michael Busch has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
61%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Michael Busch's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% +4.4% 3%         Walk +3.1% +3.4% 42%         In Play -6.5% -7.8% 39%         On Base -3.0% -0.7% 31%         Hit -6.1% -4.2% 14%         Single -3.5% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years