Matchup Machine

Michael Busch

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

124th out of 436 (Best 29%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Michael Busch

466th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers
5

Model Prediction

Michael Busch has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.2% lower than Busch's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%17.4%2.1%4.3%11.0%11.1%27.5%
Busch-3.2-1.0-0.7+0.0-0.4-2.2-0.3
Weathers-1.5-4.20.0-1.2-2.9+2.7+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Busch is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Busch doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Michael Busch hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Michael Busch's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% -2.1% 3%         Walk +3.1% -0.6% 42%         In Play -6.5% +2.7% 39%         On Base -3.0% +0.9% 31%         Hit -6.1% +1.5% 14%         Single -3.5% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years