Matchup Machine

Michael Busch

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

59th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Michael Busch

561st out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Extreme advantage for Crochet
9

Model Prediction

Michael Busch has a 24.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 7.6% lower than Busch's typical expectations, and 3.4% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.1%15.4%2.5%3.7%9.2%8.6%43.0%
Busch-7.6-3.0-0.2-0.6-2.1-4.6+15.2
Crochet-3.4-5.5+0.1-1.3-4.2+2.1+7.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Busch is worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Busch doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Michael Busch hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Michael Busch's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% +9.4% 3%         Walk +3.1% -1.3% 42%         In Play -6.5% -8.1% 39%         On Base -3.0% -3.9% 31%         Hit -6.1% -2.5% 14%         Single -3.5% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years