Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Michael Busch

matchup for Matt Festa

106th out of 436 (Best 25%)

Matt Festa

matchup for Michael Busch

391st out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Festa

Michael Busch has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Matt Festa, which is 2.4% lower than Busch's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Festa.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.2%	19.0%	3.2%	4.6%	11.2%	10.2%	30.3%
Busch	-2.4	+0.6	+0.5	+0.3	-0.1	-3.0	+2.5
Festa	-1.6	-4.3	+0.4	-1.2	-3.5	+2.8	+5.0

Michael Busch is better vs right-handed pitching. Matt Festa is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Busch has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Matt Festa throws a Slider 47% of the time. Michael Busch has a C+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

47%

4-Seam (R)

44%

Cutter (R)

8% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Michael Busch hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

31% of Matt Festa's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Michael Busch has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 31%

+18%

Breaking (R) 49%

+18%

Large Break 20%

+16%

Small Drop 25%

+13%

This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Matt Festa throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Michael Busch has performed against pitches thrown in each area.

+0%

+2%

+3%

-1%

-3%

+5%

+1%

+2%

+3%

-3%

-1%

-2%

16.6% of Michael Busch's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Matt Festa strikes out 19.4% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.4% +2.6% 3%

Walk +3.1% +3.5% 42%

In Play -6.5% -6.1% 39%

On Base -3.0% +0.8% 31%

Hit -6.1% -2.7% 14%

Single -3.5% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -3.4% -1.0% 3%

Home Run +0.8% -0.2%

37.7% of Michael Busch's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. Matt Festa induces Standard Grounders at a 28.3% rate, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.3% -6.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.9% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -5.9% +4.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.6% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -1.8% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter +3.7% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.1% -1.2% 3%

Pop up +0.7% +2.1%

21.0% of Michael Busch's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.3% 0.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% +6.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.4% -1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.0% -4.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.3% -0.7%

15.2% of Michael Busch's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 12.9% of batted balls allowed by Matt Festa are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%