matchup for Logan Webb
matchup for Michael Busch
2
Michael Busch has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.6% lower than Busch's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Webb.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 31.8% | 21.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 24.7% |
| Busch | -0.6 | +2.0 | -0.6 | +0.1 | +2.5 | -2.6 | -1.8 |
| Webb | -0.4 | -2.8 | +0.0 | -0.3 | -2.5 | +2.5 | +2.7 |
Michael Busch is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Busch has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Michael Busch has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
36%
Changeup (R)
34%
Slider (R)
25%
13% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Michael Busch has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
13%
+5%
Chaser
8%
+2%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
3%
-4%
47% of Logan Webb's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Michael Busch has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Drop
47%
+34%
Offspeed (R)
34%
+23%
Extreme Break
24%
+9%
Medium Fast Velo
24%
+9%
This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Logan Webb throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Michael Busch has performed against pitches thrown in each area.
-3%
-2%
-3%
-5%
-1%
+7%
+4%
+6%
-2%
+2%
+0%
+0%
+1%
+0%
-2%
-1%
-1%
-1%
16.1% of Michael Busch's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+2.5%
-0.7%
3%
Walk
+3.1%
-2.4%
42%
In Play
-5.5%
+3.1%
39%
On Base
-1.7%
+1.6%
31%
Hit
-4.8%
+3.9%
14%
Single
-3.0%
+2.5%
13%
2B / 3B
-2.8%
+2.8%
3%
Home Run
+1.0%
-1.3%
37.3% of Michael Busch's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Logan Webb induces Standard Grounders at a 44.4% rate, which is 10.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
+0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
+2.9%
+10.0%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.2%
+0.8%
14%
Low Screamer
-6.0%
-3.2%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.6%
+2.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.3%
+0.1%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.8%
-1.4%
1%
No Doubter
+3.6%
-0.3%
20%
Routine Flyout
+3.1%
-7.2%
3%
Pop up
+0.6%
-1.2%
21.0% of Michael Busch's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 27.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-0.3%
+0.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+0.7%
-3.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.9%
-0.8%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+4.7%
+0.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.3%
+3.3%
15.6% of Michael Busch's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. 6.4% of batted balls allowed by Logan Webb are hit at this angle, which is 5.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.4%
+9.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
+3.4%
+1.0%
8%
1 to 6°
-3.8%
+1.3%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.2%
+2.9%
15%
19 to 28°
-4.5%
-2.6%
11%
29 to 38°
+4.1%
-5.0%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.4%
-2.4%
8%
Above 50°
+1.6%
-4.7%
Michael Busch has 6 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with 2 strikeouts.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.167 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.49 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1.34 | 0.249 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-18 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-06-18 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-06-18 | Single | 16% | 64% | 21% | |
| 2023-06-18 | Groundout | 56% | 44% | ||
| 2023-06-18 | Groundout | 10% | 90% | ||
| 2023-06-18 | Groundout | 4% | 96% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
