matchup for Tanner Houck
2
Michael Busch has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.3% higher than Busch's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Houck.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 32.1% | 19.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 20.3% |
| Busch | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.5 | +1.1 | +0.0 | -6.1 |
| Houck | +0.4 | -2.4 | +0.1 | -0.2 | -2.3 | +2.8 | +0.7 |
Michael Busch is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Busch has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Michael Busch has an A- grade against right-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (R)
40%
Sinker (R)
28%
Splitter (R)
15%
4-Seam (R)
14%
10% of Tanner Houck's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Michael Busch has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Meatball
4%
-2%
53% of Tanner Houck's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 41% higher than the MLB average. Michael Busch has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Drop
53%
+41%
Large Break
17%
+12%
Breaking (R)
40%
+9%
Very Slow Velo
22%
+9%
This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Tanner Houck throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Michael Busch has performed against pitches thrown in each area.
-3%
-2%
-2%
-4%
+2%
+8%
+3%
+1%
-3%
+1%
-1%
-1%
-5%
-2%
+1%
+1%
+1%
+4%
16.6% of Michael Busch's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+3.4%
-1.6%
3%
Walk
+3.1%
+0.2%
42%
In Play
-6.5%
+1.4%
39%
On Base
-3.0%
+0.4%
31%
Hit
-6.1%
+0.3%
14%
Single
-3.5%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-3.4%
+0.7%
3%
Home Run
+0.8%
-0.9%
37.7% of Michael Busch's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck induces Standard Grounders at a 41.9% rate, which is 7.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
-0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
+3.3%
+7.5%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.9%
+2.4%
14%
Low Screamer
-5.9%
-5.6%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.6%
+2.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.3%
-1.1%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.8%
-1.1%
1%
No Doubter
+3.7%
-0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
+3.1%
-2.8%
3%
Pop up
+0.7%
-0.9%
21.0% of Michael Busch's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 30.6% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Houck are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-0.3%
-0.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.0%
-0.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.4%
-4.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+4.0%
-0.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.3%
+6.3%
15.2% of Michael Busch's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Tanner Houck are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.3%
+7.8%
12%
-10 to 0°
+3.8%
+1.7%
8%
1 to 6°
-4.5%
+1.7%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.1%
-0.1%
15%
19 to 28°
-4.0%
-4.1%
11%
29 to 38°
+3.8%
-1.3%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.3%
-2.7%
8%
Above 50°
+1.7%
-2.9%
Michael Busch has 5 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.53 | 0.119 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-04-28 | Hit By Pitch | ||||
| 2024-04-28 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2024-04-28 | Lineout | 3% | 6% | 92% | |
| 2023-08-27 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-08-27 | Groundout | 4% | 47% | 49% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
