Matchup Machine

Michael Busch

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matchup for Yonny Chirinos

164th out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Yonny Chirinos

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matchup for Michael Busch

128th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Busch
5

Model Prediction

Michael Busch has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Yonny Chirinos, which is 3.4% higher than Busch's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Chirinos.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.0%19.3%2.5%4.4%12.4%15.7%23.1%
Busch+3.4+0.9-0.2+0.1+1.0+2.5-4.7
Chirinos+0.9-4.5-0.5-0.8-3.2+5.4+3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Busch is better vs right-handed pitching. Yonny Chirinos is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Busch has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yonny Chirinos throws a Sinker 51% of the time. Michael Busch has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
20%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Michael Busch's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Yonny Chirinos strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% -7.8% 3%         Walk +3.1% -0.6% 42%         In Play -6.5% +8.3% 39%         On Base -3.0% +2.3% 31%         Hit -6.1% +2.9% 14%         Single -3.5% +1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% +1.4% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years