Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Michael Busch

matchup for Austin Gomber

150th out of 436 (Best 35%)

Austin Gomber

matchup for Michael Busch

143rd out of 567 (Best 26%)

Moderate advantage for Busch

Michael Busch has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.5% lower than Busch's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Gomber.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.1%	22.4%	3.0%	5.8%	13.5%	8.7%	18.3%
Busch	-0.5	+4.0	+0.3	+1.5	+2.2	-4.5	-9.4
Gomber	-0.6	-3.5	-0.3	-0.8	-2.4	+2.9	+0.5

Michael Busch is worse vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Busch doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Michael Busch hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

42%

Slider (L)

21%

Kn-Curve (L)

18%

Changeup (L)

18%

9% of Austin Gomber's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Michael Busch hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 11%

Weak Challenge 9%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

42% of Austin Gomber's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Michael Busch has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 42%

+23%

Extreme Drop 16%

+11%

Breaking (L) 40%

+10%

This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Austin Gomber throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Michael Busch has performed against pitches thrown in each area.

+1%

+0%

+1%

-1%

+0%

-3%

-1%

+0%

+4%

+3%

+0%

-3%

16.6% of Michael Busch's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.4% -3.3% 3%

Walk +3.1% -2.5% 42%

In Play -6.5% +5.9% 39%

On Base -3.0% +0.6% 31%

Hit -6.1% +3.1% 14%

Single -3.5% +1.2% 13%

2B / 3B -3.4% +1.6% 3%

Home Run +0.8% +0.3%

37.7% of Michael Busch's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber induces Standard Grounders at a 32.5% rate, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +3.3% -1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.9% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -5.9% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.6% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -1.8% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +3.7% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.1% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.7% -1.6%

21.0% of Michael Busch's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Austin Gomber are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.3% -1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.0% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.4% -1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.0% +4.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.3% -2.8%

15.2% of Michael Busch's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.8% higher than the league average. 12.1% of batted balls allowed by Austin Gomber are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -1.3% -0.7% 12%

-10 to 0° +3.8% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° -4.5% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° +0.1% -0.5% 15%

19 to 28° -4.0% +1.8% 11%

29 to 38° +3.8% +0.6% 7%

39 to 50° +0.3% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +1.7% -0.8%

Michael Busch has 3 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	0.667
Expected From Contact →			1.14	0.01	0.82	0.31			0.379

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-13	Single		4%	15%	81%
2024-09-13	Single	1%	78%	16%	5%
2024-09-13	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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