Matchup Machine

Michael Busch

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matchup for Martin Perez

153rd out of 436 (Best 36%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Michael Busch

84th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Strong advantage for Busch
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Model Prediction

Michael Busch has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 2.8% higher than Busch's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.4%21.8%3.3%4.6%13.9%12.6%21.8%
Busch+2.8+3.4+0.6+0.3+2.5-0.6-5.9
Perez-0.2-3.5+0.3-0.8-3.0+3.3+3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Busch is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Busch doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Michael Busch hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

16.6% of Michael Busch's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.4% -6.1% 3%         Walk +3.1% -0.3% 42%         In Play -6.5% +6.4% 39%         On Base -3.0% +5.9% 31%         Hit -6.1% +6.3% 14%         Single -3.5% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -3.4% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +0.8% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years