Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Andrew Vaughn

matchup for Tyler Duffey

175th out of 436 (Best 41%)

Tyler Duffey

matchup for Andrew Vaughn

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Vaughn

Andrew Vaughn has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 0.6% higher than Vaughn's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Duffey.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.4%	22.3%	3.0%	5.0%	14.3%	9.0%	22.2%
Vaughn	+0.6	-1.2	-0.4	-0.2	-0.7	+1.8	+1.2
Duffey	-2.7	-0.3	+0.4	-0.3	-0.5	-2.4	-2.5

Andrew Vaughn is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Vaughn has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Andrew Vaughn hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

42%

4-Seam (R)

40%

Sinker (R)

14%

23% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Andrew Vaughn has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

28% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Andrew Vaughn has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 28%

+23%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Breaking (R) 42%

+12%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

11.6% of Andrew Vaughn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.1% +3.7% 5%

Walk -2.2% -2.4% 37%

In Play +7.3% -1.3% 39%

On Base +0.6% -5.5% 31%

Hit +2.8% -3.1% 14%

Single +0.0% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.5% -1.3% 3%

Home Run +2.3% -0.5%

33.4% of Andrew Vaughn's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey induces Standard Grounders at a 31.8% rate, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.0% -2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.8% +3.2% 14%

Low Screamer -0.7% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% +1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.2% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.2% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.8% +0.1% 3%

Pop up +1.3% -0.5%

31.2% of Andrew Vaughn's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.8% higher than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.6% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.6% -3.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.9% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.8% +2.8%

10.5% of Andrew Vaughn's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.0% -0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.6% +0.0% 8%

1 to 6° -1.3% +0.7% 18%

7 to 18° +2.6% +3.7% 15%

19 to 28° -1.1% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° -1.0% -0.4% 7%

39 to 50° -0.3% -1.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +0.6%

Andrew Vaughn has 4 plate appearances against Tyler Duffey in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			1.64	0.00	0.76	0.88			0.410

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-07-17	Double		76%	9%	16%
2022-07-15	Groundout			66%	33%
2022-07-05	Double Play
2022-07-04	Forceout			13%	87%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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