Matchup Machine

Andrew Vaughn

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

388th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Andrew Vaughn

39th out of 567 (Best 8%)

Extreme advantage for Vaughn
9

Model Prediction

Andrew Vaughn has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.4% higher than Vaughn's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%26.3%4.2%6.3%15.8%7.9%17.9%
Vaughn+3.4+2.7+0.8+1.1+0.9+0.6-3.1
Anderson+0.5+4.0+1.3+1.0+1.7-3.6-3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Andrew Vaughn is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Vaughn has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Andrew Vaughn has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.6% of Andrew Vaughn's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.1% -1.9% 5%         Walk -2.2% -1.0% 37%         In Play +7.3% +2.9% 39%         On Base +0.6% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.8% +0.9% 14%         Single +0.0% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +2.3% -0.2%

History

Andrew Vaughn has 7 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual763012010.500
Expected From Contact →2.580.010.961.620.430
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-26Hit By Pitch
2024-09-26Single5%67%28%
2024-09-26Single14%82%4%
2023-05-30Walk
2023-05-30Double76%4%19%
2022-06-09Groundout7%93%
2022-06-09Flyout2%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.