Matchup Machine

Brett Baty

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matchup for JP Sears

58th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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JP Sears

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matchup for Brett Baty

221st out of 567 (Best 40%)

Leans in favor of Sears
2

Model Prediction

Brett Baty has a 27.7% chance of reaching base vs JP Sears, which is 0.9% lower than Baty's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Sears.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.7%21.2%2.7%5.7%12.8%6.5%22.6%
Baty-0.9+0.8+0.4+0.8-0.4-1.7-6.7
Sears-2.1-1.4-0.8-0.3-0.3-0.7+4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Brett Baty is worse vs left-handed pitching. JP Sears is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Baty doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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JP Sears throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Brett Baty hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
33%
   Changeup (L)
17%
   Sinker (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Brett Baty's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. JP Sears strikes out 14.1% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% -2.6% 4%         Walk -0.2% -1.1% 41%         In Play -3.8% +3.7% 39%         On Base -2.5% -2.6% 31%         Hit -2.4% -1.5% 14%         Single -1.1% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +1.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years