Matchup Machine

Brett Baty

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matchup for M. Rodriguez

116th out of 436 (Best 27%)

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Manuel Rodriguez

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matchup for Brett Baty

301st out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Moderate advantage for Rodriguez
4

Model Prediction

Brett Baty has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Manuel Rodriguez, which is 0.3% higher than Baty's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.0%20.4%2.0%4.7%13.8%8.5%26.4%
Baty+0.3+0.0-0.4-0.2+0.6+0.3-2.9
Rodriguez-2.3-0.9+0.0+0.1-1.1-1.4+2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Brett Baty is better vs right-handed pitching. Manuel Rodriguez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Baty has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Manuel Rodriguez throws a Slider 39% of the time. Brett Baty has a D- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
39%
   Sinker (R)
38%
   4-Seam (R)
23%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Brett Baty's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% -0.9% 4%         Walk -0.2% -0.7% 41%         In Play -3.8% +1.6% 39%         On Base -2.5% -3.4% 31%         Hit -2.4% -2.7% 14%         Single -1.1% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.8%

History

Brett Baty has 1 plate appearance against Manuel Rodriguez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111001001.000
Expected From Contact →0.040.000.010.030.045
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-05Single1%3%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.