Matchup Machine

Brett Baty

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matchup for Carson Fulmer

66th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Carson Fulmer

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matchup for Brett Baty

120th out of 567 (Best 22%)

Leans in favor of Baty
2

Model Prediction

Brett Baty has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 2.1% higher than Baty's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Fulmer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%22.1%2.7%6.1%13.4%8.5%25.6%
Baty+2.1+1.7+0.3+1.1+0.3+0.3-3.7
Fulmer-2.8-1.6-0.4+0.5-1.8-1.1+4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Brett Baty is better vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Baty has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Brett Baty has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

16.9% of Brett Baty's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +3.9% -2.6% 4%         Walk -0.2% +2.5% 41%         In Play -3.8% +0.1% 39%         On Base -2.5% +3.9% 31%         Hit -2.4% +1.4% 14%         Single -1.1% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -1.0% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years