Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Brett Baty

matchup for Seth Lugo

81st out of 436 (Best 19%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Brett Baty

246th out of 567 (Best 44%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo

Brett Baty has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.1% higher than Baty's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.7%	22.3%	2.4%	5.3%	14.7%	7.4%	29.5%
Baty	+1.1	+1.9	+0.0	+0.3	+1.6	-0.9	+0.2
Lugo	-2.8	-1.6	-0.7	+0.3	-1.2	-1.2	+4.6

Brett Baty is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Baty has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Brett Baty has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Brett Baty hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Brett Baty hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

16.9% of Brett Baty's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.9% +0.8% 4%

Walk -0.2% -2.3% 41%

In Play -3.8% +1.4% 39%

On Base -2.5% -0.4% 31%

Hit -2.4% +1.9% 14%

Single -1.1% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -1.0% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -0.3% +0.1%

38.7% of Brett Baty's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.3% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.2% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -6.5% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +2.9% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.3% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.4% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.2% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -0.2% -2.2%

27.6% of Brett Baty's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.5% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.9% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.3% -1.6%

10.4% of Brett Baty's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%