Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Brett Baty

matchup for Jon Gray

30th out of 436 (Best 8%)

Jon Gray

matchup for Brett Baty

143rd out of 567 (Best 26%)

Leans in favor of Baty

Brett Baty has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Jon Gray, which is 0.9% higher than Baty's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Gray.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.5%	23.9%	2.6%	5.3%	16.0%	5.7%	21.9%
Baty	+0.9	+3.5	+0.3	+0.3	+2.9	-2.6	-7.4
Gray	-3.5	-2.5	-0.5	-0.5	-1.6	-1.0	+4.9

Brett Baty is better vs right-handed pitching. Jon Gray is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Baty has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Jon Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Brett Baty has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

47%

Slider (R)

38%

Changeup (R)

Curve (R)

11% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Brett Baty hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 6%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

41% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Brett Baty has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 41%

+17%

Large Break 35%

+14%

Breaking (R) 44%

+14%

Medium Slow Velo 25%

+12%

16.9% of Brett Baty's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.9% higher than the league average. Jon Gray strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +3.9% +3.8% 4%

Walk -0.2% -1.2% 41%

In Play -3.8% -2.6% 39%

On Base -2.5% -0.6% 31%

Hit -2.4% +0.6% 14%

Single -1.1% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.0% +0.4% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -0.6%

38.7% of Brett Baty's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.3% higher than the league average. Jon Gray induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.2% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.3% +0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +4.2% +0.0% 14%

Low Screamer -6.5% -0.3% 9%

Rising Liner +2.9% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.3% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.4% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.2% +1.0% 3%

Pop up -0.2% +0.4%

27.6% of Brett Baty's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% higher than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.5% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.9% -2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.1% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% +0.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +3.3% +2.4%

10.4% of Brett Baty's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 9.6% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%