Matchup Machine

Anthony Volpe

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matchup for Y. Yamamoto

250th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto

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matchup for Anthony Volpe

476th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Moderate advantage for Yamamoto
4

Model Prediction

Anthony Volpe has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which is 2.1% lower than Volpe's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Yamamoto.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%20.4%1.9%3.7%14.7%9.9%28.0%
Volpe-2.1-2.2-0.4-1.3-0.6+0.2+3.9
Yamamoto+1.0+0.1-0.4-0.1+0.6+0.9+0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Volpe is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Volpe has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Anthony Volpe has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Splitter (R)
24%
   Curve (R)
22%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Anthony Volpe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikes out 19.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% +3.3% 5%         Walk -0.9% -1.8% 39%         In Play +1.4% -1.4% 39%         On Base +1.2% +1.2% 31%         Hit +2.1% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.3% +1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.5%

History

Anthony Volpe has 5 plate appearances against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000200.000
Expected From Contact →1.050.540.230.280.210
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-10-26Strikeout
2024-10-26Lineout8%7%86%
2024-06-07Strikeout
2024-06-07Flyout54%15%30%
2024-06-07Groundout21%79%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.