Matchup Machine

      Anthony Volpe

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      matchup for Brandon Pfaadt

      290th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

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      Brandon Pfaadt

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      matchup for Anthony Volpe

      206th out of 564 (Best 37%)

      Moderate advantage for Volpe
      5

      Model Prediction

      Anthony Volpe has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Pfaadt, which is 1.4% higher than Volpe's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Pfaadt.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Anthony Volpe is worse vs right-handed pitching. Brandon Pfaadt is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Volpe has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Brandon Pfaadt throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Anthony Volpe has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      38%
         Slider (R)
      27%
         Sinker (R)
      18%
         Changeup (R)
      12%
         Curve (R)
      5%

      Contact and Outcomes

      14.3% of Anthony Volpe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% +1.2% 5%         Walk -0.9% -2.4% 39%         In Play +1.4% +1.2% 39%         On Base +1.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.1% +2.4% 14%         Single +1.3% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% +0.9% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +1.0%

      History

      Anthony Volpe has 2 plate appearances against Brandon Pfaadt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221010100.500
      Expected From Contact →0.970.020.900.060.487
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-09-22Strikeout
      2023-09-22Double2%90%6%3%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.