Matchup Machine

Anthony Volpe

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matchup for Bryce Miller

289th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Anthony Volpe

452nd out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Miller
3

Model Prediction

Anthony Volpe has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 1.7% lower than Volpe's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%21.2%2.1%4.2%14.9%9.4%29.0%
Volpe-1.7-1.4-0.2-0.8-0.4-0.3+4.8
Miller+1.4+0.8-0.2-0.2+1.1+0.6-0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Volpe is worse vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Volpe has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Anthony Volpe has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Anthony Volpe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% +0.2% 5%         Walk -0.9% -2.5% 39%         In Play +1.4% +2.3% 39%         On Base +1.2% -3.2% 31%         Hit +2.1% -0.7% 14%         Single +1.3% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.5%

History

Anthony Volpe has 5 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552002100.400
Expected From Contact →1.010.000.011.000.203
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-18Strikeout
2024-09-18GIDP9%90%
2024-05-22Single1%57%42%
2024-05-22Pop Out100%
2024-05-22Single33%67%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.