Matchup Machine

      Anthony Volpe

      sometext

      matchup for Ryan Weathers

      326th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

      sometext

      Ryan Weathers

      sometext

      matchup for Anthony Volpe

      305th out of 564 (Worst 46%)

      Leans in favor of Volpe
      2

      Model Prediction

      Anthony Volpe has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.1% higher than Volpe's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Weathers.

      Handedness and Release Point

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Anthony Volpe is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Volpe has an F grade vs this particular release point.

      Left Arrow
      Show Vertical Release

      On the Way to the Plate

      Click on a grade for a detailed view

      Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Anthony Volpe has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      44%
         Slider (L)
      25%
         Changeup (L)
      18%
         Sinker (L)
      13%

      Contact and Outcomes

      14.3% of Anthony Volpe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% -2.0% 5%         Walk -0.9% -0.6% 39%         In Play +1.4% +2.6% 39%         On Base +1.2% +1.0% 31%         Hit +2.1% +1.6% 14%         Single +1.3% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.5%

      History

      Anthony Volpe has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual331001000.333
      Expected From Contact →1.050.000.011.030.350
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-10Groundout11%89%
      2024-04-10Groundout53%47%
      2024-04-10Single1%39%60%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.